What the sports gambling world has been waiting for; a full 2023 NFL mock draft for you, the sports bettor.
We don’t care too much about which team lands the best players or what draft grades will be handed out over the weekend.
In the words of Mathew McConaughey during his film-stealing scene in “The Wolf of Wall Street”:
“All we care about is getting f–king rich.”
This is about the money, and last year we made plenty of it with our mock draft.
This isn’t about being a scout, it’s about listening and trusting the right sources about which teams are interested in which players.
From there, we find a market agreement that we can target.
Below we unveil the sports bettors mock draft for the 2023 NFL Draft.
You still have time to get these bets in before the festivities kick off tonight (8:30 p.m. ET, ABC).
| Team | Pick | Best bet |
|---|---|---|
| 1. Panthers | QB, Bryce Young | No. 1 overall pick -2500 (BetMGM) |
| 2. Texans | EDGE, Will Anderson | Drafted No. 2 -250 (FanDuel) |
| 3. Raiders (Trade with Cardinals) | QB, CJ Stroud | Draft No. 3 +200 (FanDuel) |
| 4. Colts | QB, Will Levis | Drafted No. 4 +125 (Barstool) |
| 5. Seahawks | DT, Jalen Carter | Under 6.5 -380 (FanDuel) |
| 6. Lions | CB, Devon Witherspoon | Lions to draft a cornerback w/ first pick -130 (DraftKings) |
| 7. Cardinals (Trade with Raiders) | DE, Tyree Wilson | Drafted No. 7 +500 (BetRivers) |
| 8. Falcons | CB, Christian Gonzalez | Drafted by the Falcons +850 (DraftKings), Under 5.5 defensive backs drafted in Round 1 +152 (FanDuel) |
| 9. Bears | OT, Paris Johnson Jr. | Under 10.5 -178 (FanDuel), Bears draft an offensive lineman -170 (DraftKings) |
| 10. Eagles | OT, Peter Skoronski | Under 16.5 offensive players selcted in Round 1 +220 (DraftKings) |
| 11. Titans | QB, Anthony Richardson | Draft position over 5.5 -176 (BetRivers) |
| 12. Texans | EDGE, Nolan Smith | Draft position over 11.5 +110 (Barstool) |
| 13. Packers | TE, Michael Mayer | Over 2.5 tight ends selected +198 (FanDuel), First tight end selected -182 (PointsBet) |
| 14. Patriots | EDGE, Lukas Van Ness | Patriots select a defensive lineman +600 (FanDuel) |
| 15. Jets | WR, Jaxon Smith-Njigba | Jets to draft a WR +800 (FanDuel) |
| 16. Commanders | CB, Joey Porter Jr. | Draft position Under 19.5 +140 (BetRivers) |
| 17. Steelers | OT, Broderick Jones | Steelers draft an offensive lineman in the first round -115 (FanDuel) |
| 18. Lions | OT, Darnell Wright | Under 16.5 offensive players selcted in Round 1 +220 (DraftKings) |
| 19. Buccaneers | CB Deonte Banks | Under 5.5 defensive backs drafted in Round 1 +152 (FanDuel) |
| 20. Seahawks | DE, Myles Murphy | Under 16.5 offensive players selcted in Round 1 +220 (DraftKings) |
| 21. Chargers | TE, Dalton Kincaid | Over 2.5 tight ends selected +198 (FanDuel) |
| 22. Ravens | RB, Bijan Robinson | Draft position over 12.5 +182 (FanDuel) |
| 23. Vikings | WR, Zay Flowers | Draft position over 22.5 +110 (DraftKings) |
| 24. Jaguars | CB, Emmanuel Forbes | Jaguars draft a defensive back +210 (FanDuel) |
| 25. Giants | WR, Jordan Addison | Over 3.5 wide recievers selected in round 1 -143 (BetRivers) |
| 26. Cowboys | DE, Will McDonald IV | Cowboys draft a defensive lineman +350 (FanDuel) |
| 27. Bills | DT, Bryan Bresee | Draft position under 29.5 +130 (DraftKings) |
| 28. Bengals | RB, Jahmyr Gibbs | Over 1.5 Round 1 running backs selected -205 (DraftKings) |
| 29. Saints | TE, Sam LaPorta | Over 2.5 tight ends drafted in Round 1 +198 (FanDuel) |
| 30. Eagles | DT, Calijah Kancey | To be a first round draft choice -400 (BetRivers) |
| 31. Chiefs | OT, Anton Harrison | Chiefs draft offensive lineman in Round 1 +175 (FanDuel) |
2023 NFL Draft picks and props
We took a few shots in there, with a lot of randomness involved in the draft and no one truly knowing who will go where.
In some cases, the odds did not match up, with some high-level mock drafters disagreeing with the draft positions of different players.
For instance, the Texans to draft cornerback Christian Gonzalez was predicted by insider Albert Breer, who had the top-rated mock draft in the NFL last season; this is worth a shot at +850.
Below we get into a few overs that are the results of the selections we made above.
Oddsmakers have 45 players projected to go in the first 31 picks; the math doesn’t add up, giving us an opportunity to target guys to fall to Round 2 at plus-money.
Hendon Hooker over 31.5 +160 (DraftKings)
Color me skeptical.
Hooker is absent from Breer’s mock draft and Peter Schrager has the Vikings trading back into the back of Round 1 to grab Hooker.
That’s all fine, but it is already hard enough to find landing spots for Anthony Richardson and Will Levis.
Both of those guys could fall dramatically, especially if the Colts pass on Levis.
Hooker is 25 and is out for his rookie season; can’t imagine a team trades up for him.
Betting on the NFL?
- Read our expert guide on how to bet on the NFL
- Check out the best NFL betting sites
- Get the latest Super Bowl 2023 Odds.
- Get the BetMGM Bonus Code
Quentin Johnston over 26.5 +200 (DraftKings)
Smash spot.
Johnston is -205 on FanDuel to go over 23.5, and +200 to go over 26.5 on DraftKings.
This is a middle spot at worst and a great bet.
Johnston is absent from Schrager’s Round 1 mock draft and slated to go 27th on Breer’s.
